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US Market Timing Tour:

Industry Analysis



The Industry Group Analysis module aims to study the breadth in the underlying industry groups and thus provide a strong background reading of the strength of the current market trend, and its likely duration. 

Our report aims to provide:

Determining industry breadth
We use two principal indicators to measure industry breadth:

Using the Indicators
Important signals are generated when the indicators change directions at extremes.

Sector Sum Indicator
Reversals from high levels are bearish for the market.




Upturns from the lows are bullish for the market.



Identifying industry rotation 
We aim to identify specific rotations using extreme levels in the relevant group’s bullish percentage indicator. 

Semiconductor P&F Bull TrendFor example, the semiconductor bullish % indicator, which measures the percentage of bull trends (using point & figure signals) within the semiconductor sector, made its low in August giving a good early indication that conditions within the sector were at last beginning to improve. 






PHLX Semiconductor IndexThe SOX Semiconductor index began to bottom out in September.
 

We also suggest suitable stocks and funds to benefit from such anticipated moves.


The Industry Bell Curve 
Each of the broad industry groups is mapped according to its current bullish % breadth reading and is assigned a + or – sign depending if it is in an up or down column on the p&f chart.

We use the bell curve to “eye-ball” market breadth. For example, the bell curve (first chart) in March 2003 was heavily concentrated around the oversold side of the chart and subsequently the industry boxes began to move up out of this region.

 

Industry Bell Curve

Advisors’ Sentiment Report  





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